美国国家公共电台 NPR U.S. Manufacturers Brace For Trump's Next Trade Targets

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Now, Donald Trump 1 has said his priority as president is going to be protecting jobs, and much of his focus is expected to be U.S. trade policy. For one thing, Trump has repeatedly talked about renegotiating NAFTA, this is the free trade agreement among the U.S., Canada and Mexico. U.S. companies are the biggest foreign investors 2 in Mexico, and the U.S.-Mexican trade is worth about half a trillion dollars each year. But lately, some of those companies are coming under fire from Trump, often in tweets. NPR's Yuki Noguchi looks at which U.S. companies might find themselves in the crosshairs.

YUKI NOGUCHI, BYLINE 3: When Donald Trump takes to Twitter, some companies shudder 4. This week, Ford 5 said it would scrap 6 a $1.6 billion plant in Mexico in favor of expanding an existing one in Michigan. That happened on the same day Trump tweeted criticism of General Motors for manufacturing its Chevy Cruze vehicles in Mexico. GM says only a small number of the cars produced in Mexico are sold in the U.S.

BARRY BOSWORTH: Since most of these are companies that produce consumer-type goods, they can't afford bad publicity 7.

NOGUCHI: Barry Bosworth is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. He notes, so far, Trump's targets are companies that are expanding or planning to build operations in Mexico. So far, he has not singled out U.S. companies that have built plants long ago.

BOSWORTH: He focuses in on these individual cases, but there doesn't seem to be a rule.

NOGUCHI: In November, under pressure from Trump, heating and cooling firm Carrier said it would keep hundreds of jobs in Indiana instead of moving them to a plant in Mexico. Who might be next? Bosworth says the Trump Twitter spotlight 8 is shining the most on big companies with well-known household brands. Automakers are especially at risk because of the high volume of cross-border trade that happens in that industry, and because it's so vulnerable to consumer opinion. He says going after a maker 9 of obscure chemicals or a small firm that makes car components 10 doesn't make for great headlines, nor does it move public sentiment. It's about the finished products.

BOSWORTH: If they're not assembled, they can't be identified in the terms of like a specific model of a General Motors car. It doesn't have the same public appeal.

NOGUCHI: Trump has issued tough trade talk on China as well, but Bosworth notes Trump has not, for example, taken Apple to task for its huge iPhone assembly operations in China. China's economy is almost as big as the U.S.'s, and it has the power to inflict 11 lots of pain on U.S. companies like Boeing, so interfering 12 there could backfire for American workers. Bosworth says picking on Mexico is like fighting the weak kid on the playground. It's less likely to elicit 13 a retaliatory 14 response.

BOSWORTH: It's a much weaker economy, much fewer options available to them.

NOGUCHI: Derek Scissors, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, says retailers 15, banks and other service providers aren't likely to be targeted. And, he says, he hopes the singling out of individual companies will stop once Trump takes office.

DEREK SCISSORS: When you're president, you shouldn't be bothering one company. You should be changing policies such as corporate 16 taxes to change the whole landscape. Getting down into the details can't be done by Twitter.

NOGUCHI: Scissors says tweeting about trade does accomplish a few things. First, it appeals to Trump's base.

SCISSORS: Probably the reason that he won the election is the effort re-shore manufacturing, not to accept it as inevitable 17 that manufacturing will head overseas.

NOGUCHI: And the tweets also telegraph a message, not just to the companies he's already mentioned, but to firms in other industries, ones that might be thinking about expanding elsewhere besides Mexico.

SCISSORS: It's not going to stop at very high-profile manufacturers that consumers know about. It will continue, he's just sending the signal now to everyone, this is your chance to make an adjustment.

NOGUCHI: Yuki Noguchi, NPR News, Washington.

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